35
        
        
          Wh y F i d e s z Lo s t : A S u c c e s s f u l Go v e r nm e n t…
        
        
          1.   benefits to be provided to families and those raising children,
        
        
          2.   stopping privatization and reconsidering which assets were to be kept as state property,
        
        
          3.   re-emphasizing culture and education, and
        
        
          4.   a “law and order” package that included harsher punishments, a focus on drug viola-
        
        
          tions and improvement in the efficiency of criminal investigations.
        
        
          
            The Victory of the Center-Right Alliance in 1998
          
        
        
          The center-right alliance led by Fidesz vigorously supported an increased role for the state.
        
        
          This was welcomed by voters from the Socialist era, who were seeking help from the state
        
        
          to soften the blow of a rapidly falling living standard. In identifying the reasons for the
        
        
          Fidesz victory, many analysts stressed the rhetorical skills of the party’s candidates, as well
        
        
          as its use of imported political communication techniques. This notwithstanding, it can
        
        
          argued that the cause of the party’s success was its new concept of the state
        
        
          1
        
        
          . By rejecting
        
        
          neo-liberal and technocratic policies and stressing the increased scope of the state, the
        
        
          right could initiate discourse in the areas where the incumbent government previously
        
        
          deprived itself of this opportunity.
        
        
          The Socialist government’s central theme – that there was no viable alternative to its rule
        
        
          – was based on the mistaken assumption that the integration of the right would be slow
        
        
          and thus no opposition would have the votes to win a majority. In fact, the situation was
        
        
          such that the rise of an attractive alternative was much faster than anticipated. Conse-
        
        
          quently, the Socialists could only increase their popularity at the expense of their coalition
        
        
          partner, the Free Democrats. Thus the left’s expectation of a weakened and divided right
        
        
          seriously compromised its electoral chances.
        
        
          This miscalculation weakened the ruling government’s strategy in other ways, as well. If
        
        
          there were no alternative to the left, a moderate campaign would be sufficient and disci-
        
        
          plined leftist sympathizers would still go to the polls without arousing the passions of the
        
        
          right with radical campaign rhetoric. But this assumption proved to be incorrect, as op-
        
        
          position voters were already being sufficiently mobilized by the right without any need for
        
        
          a catalyst from the government’s campaign.
        
        
          All these mistakes and the unexpected unity of the right secured success in both rounds of
        
        
          elections in May 1998. The elections had a low turnout (that of the first and second rounds
        
        
          being 56.26% and 57.01% respectively).
        
        
          Right-of-center parties effectively used the method of reciprocal withdrawal of candi-
        
        
          dates in the second round, enabling them to win mandates in their individual constitu-
        
        
          encies. Based on theses results, Fidesz Chairman Orbán was appointed
        
        
          formateur
        
        
          of the
        
        
          government. Coalition talks with MDF and FKgP were concluded on 6 July 1998. Two
        
        
          days later, Orbán’s government was backed by a large coalition composed of Fidesz, FKgP
        
        
          and MDF.
        
        
          1
        
        
          Avar János: The Old Coon and the Young Tiger,
        
        
          Magyar Hírlap,
        
        
          21 May 1998.